07/31/2007
ISO New England
NEPOOL Participants Committee
2006 ISONE ANNUAL MARKET REPORT
Dr. Hung-po Chao, ISONE’s Director of Market Monitoring, presented
the 2006 State of the Market Report. Dr. Chao reported that: 1) the
structure of the ISONE-administered markets is now largely complete,
and the focus has shifted from design changes to enhancements; 2)
the markets supported reliable system operations in 2006; 3) wholesale
electricity prices were consistent with expectations; 4) New England’s
Demand Response resources provided up to 625 MW of load reduction
during the August 2, 2006 record peak load day; 5) the Locational
Forward Reserve Markets have provided efficient reserve pricing along
with co-optimized energy and real time reserve dispatch and pricing,
although the Southwest Connecticut, Connecticut and NEMA/Boston reserve
zone targets have not been met; and, 6) New England is progressing
toward a complete market structure that will increase investment and
improve demand participation. ISONE expects that daily NCPC uplift
charges will continue to decline as transmission expansion projects
bring more power into import-constrained areas. Although there was
active investment in transmission infrastructure in 2006, there was
only a 110 MW increase in generation capacity, due primarily to re-ratings
of existing resources. However, the anticipated implementation of
the Forward Capacity Market has resulted in a “Show of Interest”
for the February 2008 FCA of 12,400 MW of new capacity, this includes
2,400 MW of new demand response resources.
FCM STATUS REPORT
Dr. Vamsi Chadalavada, ISONE’s Senior Vice President of Market
and System Solutions, presented a status report on efforts to implement
the Forward Capacity Market. The FCM project is split into four phases:
1) Phase I - Forward Capacity Auction (FCA); 2) Phase II - Reconfiguration
Auctions, Bilateral Contracts and an automated FCM tracking system;
3) Phases III and IV are focused on Real-time systems, Settlement
systems and other market features. Phase I, culminating in the conduct
of the first FCA in February 2008, is currently on schedule. ISONE
has also committed to initiating stakeholder processes in the second
half of 2007 to: 1) redesign the Interconnection Queue; 2) improve
opportunities for participation by Seasonal Demand Resources; and
3) address how units needed for reliability can be compensated within
the FCM.
2007 REGIONAL SYSTEM PLAN UPDATE
Stephen Whitley, ISONE’s Chief Operating Officer, provided an
update on the ISONE Regional System Plan (RSP); the RSP provides opportunities
for market-based generation, demand-side measures, and merchant transmission
resources to address identified reliability needs over a 10-year planning
horizon; New England’s Participating Transmission Owners can
also make regulated transmission proposals as backstop for regional
reliability and market efficiency needs. The Planning Advisory Committee
received the initial draft 2007 RSP on July 31, 2007; ISONE will present
the 2007 RSP at a public meeting on September 6, 2007.
MARKET AND OPERATIONS REPORT: JUNE-JULY 2007
The New England system peak load of 26,275 MW occurred in hour ending
15:00 on June 27, 2007.
From June 1 through July 15, 2007, natural gas prices fell 13.2% and
oil prices rose 5.1%; average RT Hub LMPs fell 1.9% over same the
period. July NCPC uplift payments totaled $10.8M; $7.1M of these were
due to Local Second Contingency Protection Service ($5.0M in SEMA,
$1.5M in CT, $0.6M NEMA, and $23K in WCMA). ISONE is calculating the
lowest Operable Capacity Margin, a shortage of 2,850 MW, for the week
beginning August 25, 2007. A total of 1,981 Demand Response assets
are listed as Ready to Respond with 1,103.8 MW; an additional 92 assets
comprising 39.6 MW have been approved but are not yet ready to respond.
Four new generation projects have applied for interconnection study
since the early July update, representing a total of about 200 MW
with projected in-service dates ranging from 2008 through 2011; these
include one combined cycle project, one wind project, and two wood-burning
biomass projects. In total, 94 generation projects are currently being
tracked by ISONE, totaling approximately 12,000 MW. Forward Reserve
Market payments of $7.3M in July 2007 were reduced by failure-to-reserve
penalties of $427K; there have been no Real-Time Reserve payments
through July 15.
FCM: AUCTION RULE REVISIONS – APPROVED
The PC unanimously approved a set of Market Rule 1 revisions pertaining
to the implementation of the Forward Capacity Auction. These changes
included language that limits to 600 MW the amount of Emergency Generation
that may be counted as capacity in the FCA to meet the ICR; if more
than 600 MW of the Emergency Generators clear the FCA, their capacity
payments would be pro-rated so that, effectively, only 600 MW would
be used to meet the ICR. Other changes include: a rule allowing Existing
Resources to may obtain multi-year capacity commitments for MWs cleared
through Composite Offers with New Resources; a clarification that
a second Qualification deposit is not required for offers submitted
into the following FCA; an extension of future Existing and New qualification
deadlines to avoid overlapping; a requirement that Static and Export
De-list bids for a resource must have different prices and must have
common rationing election; an option for resource owners to elect
rationing at the Bidding Group level; clarifications to the FCA optimization
rule; revisions to the reserve margin and loss factors for Demand
Resources in FCA; an exemption from the quantity rule for certain
de-list bids in the first FCA; a provision for rationing Export bids
in the Qualification process in order to fit the available tie capability;
a provision that establishes a default bid of 2 X CONE for all Resources
once their Financial Assurance is submitted; reallocation of pro-rated
MW at the floor price done through bilateral contracts